Evolution of extreme climatic phenomena in the Central-West of Morocco: Case of the city of Agadir

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the mechanisms of extreme climatic phenomena in the Central-West of Morocco. It examines trends in extreme climate indices in Agadir, Morocco, using meteorological data covering the period from 1982 to 2022. The analysis focuses on precipitation and temperature extremes to understand the region's vulnerability to climate change impacts. The study employs the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) methodology to calculate a range of climate indices. Results indicate a moderate statistical significance in the increase of very high temperature events, highlighting a trend towards warmer temperatures in the region. However, the statistical significance of precipitation trends varies, with some indices showing more consistent changes than others. Notable years with extreme weather conditions, such as heavy precipitation or prolonged periods of heat or cold, are identified. These findings underscore the importance of understanding local climate trends for effective climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. Continued monitoring and analysis of climate data are crucial for informing decision-making and enhancing resilience to climate-related challenges in the region.