Economic impacts of ecotourism: Madagascar case

Abstract

Tourism activities have become a great economic activity that brings about an improvement than 10% of the world GDP. The number of tourists does not stop increasing whatever field; it is at the level of natural milieu and upgrade tourism as well or luxurious tourism, urban tourism, industrial tourism, etc… This increase is significantly marked by the increase of world population, and also by technology development thanks to improvement in the field of air transport, land transport, maritime transport and river transport existing in Madagascar. So it is very probable that there is a very wide correlation between economic activities of MADAGASCAR, notably tourist activities. Thus, we used the Auto regression Variance model which would approve this correlation. So the variations between the variables on the tourists number have similar effects in short, medium and long terms the other economic variables, noticeably the tourist revenue or the tax for the State to the people living near national parks. The variance of the forecast error of the revenue represents a strong innovation of the impulse shocks compared to that of visitors’ number, but in the long run these shocks persist. Anyway, the international tourism, the national tourism is dependent on the economic, political, and social and health state, international and national situation.